Will Probably Win: The Departed
Should Win: Little Miss Sunshine (Granted, I haven't seen Letters from Iwo Jima or The Queen.)
Will Probably Win: Scorsese for The Departed
Should've Won: Scorsese for Goodfellas
Best Original Screenplay
Will Probably and Should Win: Michael Arndt for Little Miss Sunshine
Will Probably Win: Helen Mirren for The Queen
Should Win: Helen Mirren for whatever the hell this movie was ...
Will Probably Win: Forest Whitaker for The Last King of Scotland
Should Win: Ummm ... Helen Mirren!
Best Supporting Actress
Will Probably Win: Jennifer Hudson for Dreamgirls
Should Win: Abigail Breslin for Little Miss Sunshine
Best Supporting Actor
Will Probably Win: Eddie Murphy for Dreamgirls
Should Win: Alan Arkin for Little Miss Sunshine
Best Documentary Short
Will Probably Win: Two Hands
Should Win: If there's any justice in this universe, this masterpiece ...